Question
Download Solution PDFAccording to Dempster-Shafer theory for uncertainty management.
Where Bel(A) denotes Belief of event A.
Answer (Detailed Solution Below)
Detailed Solution
Download Solution PDFDempster – Shafer theory: It is designed to deal with the distinction between uncertainty and ignorance. Rather than computing the probability of a proposition it computes the probability that evidence supports the proposition.
Rather than estimating probabilities it uses belief intervals to estimate how close the evidence is to determining the truth of a hypothesis. It allows representation of ignorance about support provided by evidence.
- Belief or possibility is the probability that B is provable by the evidence.
- Plausibility is the probability that B is compatible with the available evidence.
- According to Dempster – shafer theory (Bel A) = 1 – Bel (¬A)
For example: if there are three groups A, B and C who did the crime. We may have evidence the group
C is guilty. We would not want to say the probability of other two groups being guilty is 1. Belief and
Disbelief are functional opposites. Dempster –shafer theory allows to leave relative beliefs unspecified.
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